Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.007947 3.362587 3.746359 4.193167 4.699896 5.257669 5.919414
2024-10-20 2.457688 2.922554 3.461074 4.133479 4.953979 5.926926 7.174373
2024-10-27 2.022810 2.516392 3.117514 3.908166 4.927617 6.207051 7.948886
2024-11-03 1.804509 2.330190 2.997601 3.914641 5.153609 6.785953 9.126792
2024-11-10 1.670137 2.227713 2.961763 4.009863 5.485785 7.516672 10.569032
2024-11-17 1.538238 2.110312 2.887624 4.035545 5.712323 8.110653 11.870678
2024-11-24 1.427397 2.008398 2.820658 4.057468 5.925562 8.694429 13.208765
2024-12-01 1.331359 1.916962 2.757272 4.073332 6.123652 9.265155 14.578866
2024-12-08 1.219410 1.791766 2.632174 3.981688 6.143035 9.554765 15.520567
2024-12-15 1.139742 1.707576 2.559962 3.962118 6.268781 10.017216 16.789210
2024-12-22 1.064490 1.623784 2.480732 3.922437 6.354461 10.416210 17.984724
2024-12-29 1.040025 1.616874 2.520088 4.076372 6.773033 11.410990 20.346907
2025-01-05 0.980179 1.550578 2.461651 4.066470 6.917236 11.956315 21.974328
2025-01-12 0.919943 1.479329 2.389762 4.027324 7.005953 12.410818 23.485457
2025-01-19 0.832987 1.357671 2.224955 3.812115 6.756407 12.217052 23.693092
2025-01-26 0.793265 1.312924 2.187216 3.819203 6.915895 12.806030 25.554274
2025-02-02 0.771067 1.296497 2.196753 3.912021 7.244174 13.751577 28.278147
2025-02-09 0.739725 1.261803 2.171309 3.937045 7.442218 14.456382 30.570766
2025-02-16 0.710197 1.228272 2.145355 3.958383 7.633685 15.164942 32.961317
2025-02-23 0.681981 1.195200 2.117763 3.973819 7.813527 15.865460 35.423440
2025-03-02 0.641629 1.137352 2.040334 3.884654 7.767819 16.076112 36.748698
2025-03-09 0.613457 1.100372 1.999634 3.865613 7.867598 16.613237 38.935928
2025-03-16 0.584775 1.060716 1.951247 3.827002 7.921238 17.051095 40.931606